US talks to Taliban- The implications For India


Indian media and political observers are over consumed with domestic politics and most of the political developments outside India had been overlooked and one of them is the ongoing talks and negotiation process between US government and Taliban in Doha (Qatar). According to the US media reports, the US government and Taliban had been agreed to the framework of talks between them which allowed the US government to move out their soldiers from Afghanistan in return to ceasefire from the militant group and leave the affairs in turbulent country to be taken care by the government of Afghanistan and Taliban to broker a peace between them.

The decision of the US government to get into a peace process is always a welcome step for any region, but the same time it needs to be watched out carefully what has forced USA to sit with Taliban on negotiating table and how much they giving up to or in other words what price (Strategic way) have to be   paid for the agreement because the region of Afghanistan is very crucial for the geo strategic situation of South Asia in general and   India for particular.   

As per initial reports the framework on which the both parties, the US government and Taliban has agreed upon to a ceasefire in Afghanistan and this return the US government would move out its soldiers and military mission from the turbulent territory where US entered 17 years back after the 9\11 happened on the soil of USA, the biggest known attack on the USA after the pearl harbor attack during second world war.

It is interesting to note that USA which launched a war on terror after the attack on world trade centre and focused mainly on Afghanistan to wipe out the terror sanctuaries in the country of different tribes with help of Pakistan could not win the war successfully in last 17 years and unlike their successful mission against USSR in Afghanistan the new circumstances  does not seem to allow the USA to extend its military mission further and the economic burden, loss of soldiers and changing priorities for USA foreign policy along with the growing perception for USA among Islamic countries as leading a war against their faith  has forced the supreme power in the    World to hand over the fate of Afghanistan to their own people .

The ongoing negotiation between US government and Taliban had wider implications for international politics as it indicates the major shift in the foreign policy of USA which does not seem to be ready to take the burden of empire building on its shoulders and ready to leave the field open for others either to fill in the chaos or take over the responsibility.

The ongoing negotiations between US government and Taliban have wider implications for India as well.  India has maintained for a long time that it should be made part of any solution to the Afghanistan as it has stake in its peace and any solution, but it is not known till date that how much Indian interests have been taken into account in this negotiations between USA and Taliban. The other reports are raising concern for India  which suggest that US administration put pressure on Pakistan for last few months on the issue of terrorism and announcing the  curtailment in economic aid to the country to force them to use their leverage on Taliban to bring them on negotiating table with US administration and now the policy of pressure has worked well for USA, but in this new development the Pakistan has again proved its utility for the foreign policy and strategic interest of USA and their western allies and the Indian neighbor who had been considered as isolated country in international opinion among the ever enthusiastic Indian analysts and observers  need to reexamine the role and leverage of Pakistan among  USA and its western allies.

For last few years Indian policy for Pakistan had been inconsistent and vulnerable to populist jingoism and there was a preconceived opinion to think Pakistan as failed state living in isolation among international opinion particularly among western countries and it has emboldened a communication gap between India and Pakistan, on the contrary Pakistan has opened its various communication channels with China, Russia and western Countries as well.  The new developments on the Afghanistan front demands some serious  relook in  our geo strategic thinking and policy and overconfident perception of underestimation of Pakistan about its international isolation needs be relooked as Pakistan has again proved them  an asset to US foreign policy and new changed geo strategic shift would have bearing on India .